Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Main Middleweight

Alessio Di Chirico vs Roman Kopylov

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa ·Accor Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Alessio Di Chirico
Roman Kopylov
45% 55%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
33
Age
Δ 2y
30
13-8
Career record
Δ 10 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
L2
10
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Di Chirico: 39 sig / 0 TD · Kopylov: 59 sig / 0 TD
Alessio Di Chirico
Roman Kopylov
38
Sig strikes landed
45
100
Sig strikes attempted
97
48
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
59s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Alessio Di Chirico

"Manzo"
13-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
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W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
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L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
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L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
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Blue corner
L2

Roman Kopylov

15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
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L UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
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