Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Fares Ziam
Michal Figlak
76%
24%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
26
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ziam: 60 sig / 3 TD ·
Figlak: 28 sig / 1 TD
Fares Ziam
Michal Figlak
36
Sig strikes landed
29
75
Sig strikes attempted
56
53
Total strikes landed
43
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
171s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Fares Ziam
"The Smile Killer"
18-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
Blue corner
Michal Figlak
"Mad Dog"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26