Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Prelims1 Lightweight

Benoit Saint Denis vs Gabriel Miranda

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa ·Accor Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Benoit Saint Denis
Gabriel Miranda
76% 24%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
27
Age
Δ 6y
32
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Saint Denis: 42 sig / 1 TD · Miranda: 20 sig / 1 TD
Benoit Saint Denis
Gabriel Miranda
41
Sig strikes landed
35
84
Sig strikes attempted
76
63
Total strikes landed
49
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
231s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Benoit Saint Denis

"God of War"
18-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
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L UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
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Blue corner

Gabriel Miranda

"Fly"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32