Main
Featherweight
Charles Jourdain vs Nathaniel Wood
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
·Accor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Charles Jourdain
Nathaniel Wood
44%
56%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
18-9-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
24-6
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jourdain: 86 sig / 1 TD ·
Wood: 97 sig / 5 TD
Charles Jourdain
Nathaniel Wood
69
Sig strikes landed
70
148
Sig strikes attempted
134
84
Total strikes landed
85
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
58s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Charles Jourdain
"Air"
18-9-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
Blue corner
W1
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
24-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
L
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—