Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bryan Battle
Takashi Sato
73%
27%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
14-2
Career record
Δ 21 pp
16-8
W2
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Battle: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Sato: 2 sig / 0 TD
Bryan Battle
Takashi Sato
39
Sig strikes landed
34
69
Sig strikes attempted
75
60
Total strikes landed
43
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
114s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Bryan Battle
"The Butcher"
14-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
L2
Takashi Sato
"Ten"
16-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—