Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Cory McKenna vs Miranda Granger
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cory McKenna
Miranda Granger
67%
33%
Why
58"
Reach
Δ 10"
68"
23
Age
Δ 7y
30
8-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
7-4
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
McKenna: 13 sig / 3 TD ·
Granger: 13 sig / 0 TD
Cory McKenna
Miranda Granger
47
Sig strikes landed
43
113
Sig strikes attempted
111
83
Total strikes landed
73
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
275s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
45%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cory McKenna
"Poppins"
8-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
59"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
Blue corner
L2
Miranda Granger
"Danger"
7-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—