Back to UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Main Women's Flyweight

Brogan Walker vs Juliana Miller

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Brogan Walker
Juliana Miller
50% 50%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Walker: 30 sig / 0 TD · Miller: 54 sig / 4 TD
Brogan Walker
Juliana Miller
34
Sig strikes landed
35
66
Sig strikes attempted
79
68
Total strikes landed
61
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
173s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Brogan Walker

"The Bear"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
Blue corner

Juliana Miller

"Killer"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26