Prelims1
Lightweight
Drakkar Klose vs Rafa Garcia
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Drakkar Klose
Rafa Garcia
40%
60%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
17-3-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
20-4
W1
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Klose: 61 sig / 2 TD ·
Garcia: 34 sig / 3 TD
Drakkar Klose
Rafa Garcia
60
Sig strikes landed
52
131
Sig strikes attempted
125
88
Total strikes landed
75
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.9
3.9
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
102s
Control time
223s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Drakkar Klose
17-3-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
Blue corner
W2
Rafa Garcia
"Gifted"
20-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—