Back to UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Don'Tale Mayes vs Hamdy Abdelwahab

UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 ·American Airlines Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Don'Tale Mayes
Hamdy Abdelwahab
49% 51%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 9"
72"
30
Age
Δ 1y
30
W2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Mayes: 47 sig / 0 TD · Abdelwahab: 58 sig / 3 TD
Don'Tale Mayes
Hamdy Abdelwahab
36
Sig strikes landed
32
85
Sig strikes attempted
58
58
Total strikes landed
46
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
169s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Don'Tale Mayes

"Lord Kong"
12-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
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W UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
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L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
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L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
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Blue corner

Hamdy Abdelwahab

"The Hammer"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30