Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
HyunSung Park
Jeremia Siregar
75%
25%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 3"
63"
27
Age
Δ 4y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Park: 29 sig / 1 TD ·
Siregar: 11 sig / 0 TD
HyunSung Park
Jeremia Siregar
39
Sig strikes landed
31
82
Sig strikes attempted
65
57
Total strikes landed
46
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
152s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
HyunSung Park
"Peace of Mind"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Jeremia Siregar
"The Teacher"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31