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Jinensibieke Asikeerbai vs KyeungPyo Kim

Road to UFC 1.4 ·Singapore Indoor Stadium

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jinensibieke Asikeerbai
KyeungPyo Kim
86% 14%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Asikeerbai: 1 sig / 0 TD · Kim: 5 sig / 0 TD
Jinensibieke Asikeerbai
KyeungPyo Kim
37
Sig strikes landed
34
72
Sig strikes attempted
78
54
Total strikes landed
49
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
156s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jinensibieke Asikeerbai

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner

KyeungPyo Kim

"Redhorse"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30