Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Shohei Nose
Wulijiburen
61%
39%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
69"
25
Age
Δ 9y
33
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nose: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Wulijiburen: 1 sig / 0 TD
Shohei Nose
Wulijiburen
36
Sig strikes landed
36
71
Sig strikes attempted
77
52
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
117s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Shohei Nose
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
Blue corner
Wulijiburen
"Beast Master"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33