Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Qiu Lun
Wallen Del Rosario
65%
35%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lun: 71 sig / 0 TD ·
Del Rosario: 21 sig / 1 TD
Qiu Lun
Wallen Del Rosario
39
Sig strikes landed
32
80
Sig strikes attempted
63
56
Total strikes landed
45
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
162s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Qiu Lun
"Tibetan Knight"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
Blue corner
Wallen Del Rosario
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29