Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jinnosuke Kashimura
WonBin Ki
58%
42%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
21
Age
Δ 10y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kashimura: 1 sig / 1 TD ·
Ki: 35 sig / 0 TD
Jinnosuke Kashimura
WonBin Ki
32
Sig strikes landed
36
72
Sig strikes attempted
77
44
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
98s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jinnosuke Kashimura
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
21
Blue corner
WonBin Ki
"The Danger"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31