Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yizha
Keisuke Sasu
83%
17%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
25
Age
Δ 2y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Yizha: 11 sig / 3 TD ·
Sasu: 6 sig / 0 TD
Yizha
Keisuke Sasu
41
Sig strikes landed
30
83
Sig strikes attempted
71
59
Total strikes landed
45
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
160s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Yizha
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Keisuke Sasu
"Sasuke"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
28