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Main Bantamweight

Maimaitituoheti Keremuaili vs Toshiomi Kazama

Road to UFC 1.1 ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Maimaitituoheti Keremuaili
Toshiomi Kazama
68% 32%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
31
Age
Δ 6y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Keremuaili: 22 sig / 1 TD · Kazama: 25 sig / 2 TD
Maimaitituoheti Keremuaili
Toshiomi Kazama
38
Sig strikes landed
35
78
Sig strikes attempted
80
56
Total strikes landed
51
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
156s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Maimaitituoheti Keremuaili

"Kyrgyz Mountain Eagle"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner

Toshiomi Kazama

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25