Prelims1
Featherweight
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke vs TJ Brown
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
TJ Brown
92%
8%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
40-12
Career record
Δ 15 pp
18-11
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nuerdanbieke: 47 sig / 3 TD ·
Brown: 42 sig / 1 TD
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
TJ Brown
34
Sig strikes landed
35
92
Sig strikes attempted
88
68
Total strikes landed
61
2.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
6.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
300s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
"Wolverine"
40-12
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
Blue corner
W2
TJ Brown
"Downtown"
18-11
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
L
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—