Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brad Riddell
Jalin Turner
46%
54%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 6"
77"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
10-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
16-9
L1
Current streak
W4
5
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Riddell: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Turner: 3 sig / 0 TD
Brad Riddell
Jalin Turner
42
Sig strikes landed
49
79
Sig strikes attempted
133
49
Total strikes landed
57
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
64s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brad Riddell
"Quake"
10-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
W
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
W4
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
16-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—