🏆 Title fight
Main
Featherweight
Alexander Volkanovski vs Max Holloway
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexander Volkanovski
Max Holloway
75%
25%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
29-4
Career record
Δ 12 pp
28-9
W8
Current streak
W2
11
UFC fights in our DB
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Volkanovski: 199 sig / 0 TD ·
Holloway: 127 sig / 0 TD
Alexander Volkanovski
Max Holloway
175
Sig strikes landed
128
321
Sig strikes attempted
290
181
Total strikes landed
155
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
7.5
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
273s
Control time
23s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
29-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 11-0
Last 5
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
Blue corner
W2
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
28-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
25 fights · 19-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—