Prelims1
Featherweight
Makwan Amirkhani vs Jonathan Pearce
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Makwan Amirkhani
Jonathan Pearce
55%
45%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
18-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
15-7
W1
Current streak
W3
12
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Amirkhani: 11 sig / 3 TD ·
Pearce: 90 sig / 4 TD
Makwan Amirkhani
Jonathan Pearce
19
Sig strikes landed
26
41
Sig strikes attempted
53
32
Total strikes landed
51
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.7
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
152s
Control time
198s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
18-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
Blue corner
W3
Jonathan Pearce
"JSP"
15-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—