Back to UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Prelims1 Flyweight

Muhammad Mokaev vs Charles Johnson

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall ·The O2 Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Muhammad Mokaev
Charles Johnson
74% 26%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
22
Age
Δ 10y
32
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mokaev: 12 sig / 12 TD · Johnson: 12 sig / 0 TD
Muhammad Mokaev
Charles Johnson
29
Sig strikes landed
25
73
Sig strikes attempted
54
69
Total strikes landed
37
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
160s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Muhammad Mokaev

"The Punisher"
14-0 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
Blue corner

Charles Johnson

"InnerG"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
32