Back to UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Mandy Bohm vs Victoria Leonardo

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Mandy Bohm
Victoria Leonardo
67% 33%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 7"
64"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
8-3
Career record
Δ 20 pp
9-8
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bohm: 52 sig / 0 TD · Leonardo: 39 sig / 2 TD
Mandy Bohm
Victoria Leonardo
51
Sig strikes landed
44
119
Sig strikes attempted
111
71
Total strikes landed
75
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
139s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mandy Bohm

"Monster"
8-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
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Blue corner
L2

Victoria Leonardo

"Fury"
9-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
L UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
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