Prelims1
Welterweight
Claudio Silva vs Nicolas Dalby
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Claudio Silva
Nicolas Dalby
36%
64%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
40
Age
Δ 2y
38
14-5
Career record
Δ 1 pp
24-7-1
L2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva: 11 sig / 4 TD ·
Dalby: 45 sig / 1 TD
Claudio Silva
Nicolas Dalby
33
Sig strikes landed
45
85
Sig strikes attempted
100
56
Total strikes landed
62
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
5.6
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
207s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Claudio Silva
"Hannibal"
14-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—
Blue corner
L1
Nicolas Dalby
"Lokomotivo"
24-7-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
8 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—