Main
Middleweight
Jack Hermansson vs Chris Curtis
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jack Hermansson
Chris Curtis
46%
54%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
24-11
Career record
Δ 3 pp
33-13
L1
Current streak
W3
14
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hermansson: 100 sig / 0 TD ·
Curtis: 43 sig / 0 TD
Jack Hermansson
Chris Curtis
62
Sig strikes landed
64
153
Sig strikes attempted
146
74
Total strikes landed
75
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.7
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.50
146s
Control time
43s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
24-11
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W3
Chris Curtis
"Action-Man"
33-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—