Main
Lightweight
Damir Ismagulov vs Guram Kutateladze
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
·Moody Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Damir Ismagulov
Guram Kutateladze
86%
14%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
25-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
14-5
W4
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ismagulov: 79 sig / 0 TD ·
Kutateladze: 78 sig / 1 TD
Damir Ismagulov
Guram Kutateladze
49
Sig strikes landed
38
127
Sig strikes attempted
97
77
Total strikes landed
45
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.1
7.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
204s
Control time
13s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Damir Ismagulov
"Qazaq"
25-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
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Blue corner
W1
Guram Kutateladze
"Georgian Viking"
14-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
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