Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Natalia Silva
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
·Moody Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Natalia Silva
35%
65%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
33
Age
Δ 8y
25
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jasudavicius: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 96 sig / 2 TD
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Natalia Silva
43
Sig strikes landed
36
87
Sig strikes attempted
82
76
Total strikes landed
69
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
219s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jasmine Jasudavicius
16-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
Natalia Silva
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25