Back to UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Prelims1 Welterweight

Court McGee vs Jeremiah Wells

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett ·Moody Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Court McGee
Jeremiah Wells
48% 52%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
38
Age
Δ 2y
36
24-14
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-4-1
W2
Current streak
W2
19
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
McGee: 3 sig / 0 TD · Wells: 7 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Jeremiah Wells
43
Sig strikes landed
46
104
Sig strikes attempted
101
61
Total strikes landed
65
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.3
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Court McGee

"The Crusher"
24-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 19 fights · 10-9
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
L UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner
W2

Jeremiah Wells

14-4-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—