Prelims1
Featherweight
Ricardo Ramos vs Danny Chavez
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
·Moody Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ricardo Ramos
Danny Chavez
78%
22%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
67"
27
Age
Δ 8y
35
17-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
11-5-2
L1
Current streak
D1
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ramos: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Chavez: 3 sig / 0 TD
Ricardo Ramos
Danny Chavez
53
Sig strikes landed
36
122
Sig strikes attempted
95
66
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
133s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ricardo Ramos
17-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
D1
Danny Chavez
"The Colombian Warrior"
11-5-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 1-1
Last 3
D
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—