Back to UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
Prelims1 Featherweight

David Onama vs Garrett Armfield

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
David Onama
Garrett Armfield
68% 32%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Onama: 29 sig / 2 TD · Armfield: 21 sig / 0 TD
David Onama
Garrett Armfield
55
Sig strikes landed
41
107
Sig strikes attempted
83
67
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
82s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

David Onama

15-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
L UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
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Blue corner

Garrett Armfield

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26