Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Karl Roberson
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Karl Roberson
79%
21%
Why
83"
Reach
Δ 9"
74"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
14-7-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
9-7
L2
Current streak
L3
6
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Nzechukwu: 20 sig / 5 TD ·
Roberson: 9 sig / 0 TD
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Karl Roberson
36
Sig strikes landed
25
71
Sig strikes attempted
58
57
Total strikes landed
30
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
146s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Kennedy Nzechukwu
"Chosen"
14-7-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
Blue corner
L3
Karl Roberson
"Baby K"
9-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—