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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ronnie Lawrence vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Ronnie Lawrence
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
58% 42%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
69"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
9-2
Career record
Δ 3 pp
11-3
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lawrence: 15 sig / 1 TD · Kakhramonov: 32 sig / 10 TD
Ronnie Lawrence
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
34
Sig strikes landed
37
69
Sig strikes attempted
79
45
Total strikes landed
57
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
94s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
45%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Ronnie Lawrence

"The Heat"
9-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
Blue corner
W1

Saidyokub Kakhramonov

11-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …