Main
Bantamweight
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Said Nurmagomedov
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Said Nurmagomedov
68%
32%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
37
Age
Δ 7y
30
30-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-5
W2
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva de Andrade: 28 sig / 1 TD ·
Nurmagomedov: 42 sig / 1 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Said Nurmagomedov
43
Sig strikes landed
43
102
Sig strikes attempted
102
52
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
75s
Control time
36s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
30-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Said Nurmagomedov
19-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—