Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Aiemann Zahabi
Ricky Turcios
53%
47%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
15-2
Career record
Δ 18 pp
14-6
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zahabi: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Turcios: 27 sig / 0 TD
Aiemann Zahabi
Ricky Turcios
43
Sig strikes landed
57
96
Sig strikes attempted
93
60
Total strikes landed
61
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
91s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
80%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Aiemann Zahabi
"Icemann"
15-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ricky Turcios
14-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—