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Michael Johnson vs Jamie Mullarkey

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Michael Johnson
Jamie Mullarkey
32% 68%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
26-20
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-10
W1
Current streak
L1
25
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Johnson: 66 sig / 0 TD · Mullarkey: 96 sig / 0 TD
Michael Johnson
Jamie Mullarkey
44
Sig strikes landed
49
96
Sig strikes attempted
113
54
Total strikes landed
61
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
59s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Michael Johnson

"The Menace"
26-20
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 25 fights · 12-13
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
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L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
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L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
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L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
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Blue corner
L1

Jamie Mullarkey

18-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
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W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
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W UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
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L UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—