Prelims1
Featherweight
Damon Jackson vs Dan Argueta
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Damon Jackson
Dan Argueta
74%
26%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
34
Age
Δ 5y
29
W2
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jackson: 32 sig / 2 TD ·
Argueta: 27 sig / 1 TD
Damon Jackson
Dan Argueta
32
Sig strikes landed
28
69
Sig strikes attempted
58
52
Total strikes landed
46
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
272s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
24-8-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
D
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
Blue corner
Dan Argueta
"The Determined"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29