Prelims1
Lightweight
Joe Solecki vs Alex Da Silva
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joe Solecki
Alex Da Silva
31%
69%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
29
Age
Δ 2y
26
13-7
Career record
Δ 16 pp
21-5
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Solecki: 33 sig / 1 TD ·
Da Silva: 35 sig / 0 TD
Joe Solecki
Alex Da Silva
30
Sig strikes landed
28
58
Sig strikes attempted
47
66
Total strikes landed
62
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.8
4.3
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
249s
Control time
259s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joe Solecki
13-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
Blue corner
L1
Alex Da Silva
"Leko"
21-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—