Prelims1
Welterweight
Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Andreas Michailidis
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Andreas Michailidis
88%
12%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fakhretdinov: 45 sig / 5 TD ·
Michailidis: 18 sig / 0 TD
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Andreas Michailidis
39
Sig strikes landed
28
78
Sig strikes attempted
63
63
Total strikes landed
41
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
201s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Rinat Fakhretdinov
"Gladiator"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
L1
Andreas Michailidis
"The Spartan"
13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
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