Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Erin Blanchfield vs JJ Aldrich
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Erin Blanchfield
JJ Aldrich
82%
18%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
23
Age
Δ 7y
30
15-2
Career record
Δ 19 pp
16-7
W2
Current streak
W3
2
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Blanchfield: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Aldrich: 32 sig / 2 TD
Erin Blanchfield
JJ Aldrich
55
Sig strikes landed
46
110
Sig strikes attempted
93
80
Total strikes landed
75
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
194s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Erin Blanchfield
"Cold Blooded"
15-2
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
Blue corner
W3
JJ Aldrich
16-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—