Back to UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Prelims1 Flyweight

Jeff Molina vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jeff Molina
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
84% 16%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
25
Age
Δ 9y
34
12-2
Career record
Δ 27 pp
14-10
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Molina: 56 sig / 0 TD · Zhumagulov: 37 sig / 2 TD
Jeff Molina
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
77
Sig strikes landed
52
142
Sig strikes attempted
128
107
Total strikes landed
64
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.0
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
110s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Jeff Molina

"El Jefe"
12-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
Blue corner
L1

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

14-10
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
L UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—