Prelims1
Bantamweight
Johnny Munoz vs Tony Gravely
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Johnny Munoz
Tony Gravely
45%
55%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
29
Age
Δ 1y
31
13-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
24-9
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Munoz: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Gravely: 5 sig / 0 TD
Johnny Munoz
Tony Gravely
30
Sig strikes landed
40
73
Sig strikes attempted
78
55
Total strikes landed
61
1.9
Takedowns landed
2.2
5.8
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.50
168s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Johnny Munoz
"Kid Kvenbo"
13-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
Blue corner
W1
Tony Gravely
24-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—