Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ode Osbourne
Zarrukh Adashev
76%
24%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 8"
65"
30
Age
Δ 1y
30
14-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
5-4
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Osbourne: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Adashev: 7 sig / 0 TD
Ode Osbourne
Zarrukh Adashev
37
Sig strikes landed
27
80
Sig strikes attempted
74
49
Total strikes landed
31
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
96s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ode Osbourne
"The Jamaican Sensation"
14-9
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
Blue corner
W1
Zarrukh Adashev
"The Lion"
5-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—