Back to UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Main Women's Flyweight

Karine Silva vs Poliana Botelho

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Karine Silva
Poliana Botelho
82% 18%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
28
Age
Δ 5y
34
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 17 sig / 1 TD · Botelho: 19 sig / 0 TD
Karine Silva
Poliana Botelho
32
Sig strikes landed
32
67
Sig strikes attempted
71
70
Total strikes landed
52
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
205s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Karine Silva

"Killer"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L2

Poliana Botelho

8-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
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