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Alonzo Menifield vs Askar Mozharov

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Alonzo Menifield
Askar Mozharov
64% 36%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
L1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Menifield: 19 sig / 2 TD · Mozharov: 2 sig / 0 TD
Alonzo Menifield
Askar Mozharov
38
Sig strikes landed
35
71
Sig strikes attempted
73
56
Total strikes landed
53
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
194s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Alonzo Menifield

"Atomic"
18-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
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W UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
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W UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
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Blue corner

Askar Mozharov

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28