Main
Featherweight
Michael Trizano vs Lucas Almeida
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Michael Trizano
Lucas Almeida
55%
45%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Trizano: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Almeida: 75 sig / 0 TD
Michael Trizano
Lucas Almeida
45
Sig strikes landed
38
88
Sig strikes attempted
83
57
Total strikes landed
56
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
89s
Control time
165s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Michael Trizano
"The Lone Wolf"
11-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
Blue corner
Lucas Almeida
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31