Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Movsar Evloev
22%
78%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
31
Age
Δ 2y
28
19-12
Career record
Δ 39 pp
21-0
L2
Current streak
W5
11
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ige: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Evloev: 68 sig / 9 TD
Dan Ige
Movsar Evloev
51
Sig strikes landed
71
128
Sig strikes attempted
153
69
Total strikes landed
127
0.3
Takedowns landed
4.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
8.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
62s
Control time
355s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Dan Ige
"100K"
19-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
Blue corner
W5
Movsar Evloev
21-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—