Main
Heavyweight
Alexander Volkov vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexander Volkov
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
92%
8%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
34
Age
Δ 1y
34
40-12
Career record
Δ 9 pp
15-7
L1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Volkov: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Rozenstruik: 6 sig / 0 TD
Alexander Volkov
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
54
Sig strikes landed
39
108
Sig strikes attempted
80
67
Total strikes landed
35
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
0.2
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
31s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
71%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40-12
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
Blue corner
L1
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
L
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—