Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Ariane Carnelossi vs Loopy Godinez
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
·Footprint Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ariane Carnelossi
Loopy Godinez
62%
38%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 0"
61"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
16-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
15-6
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Carnelossi: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Godinez: 46 sig / 8 TD
Ariane Carnelossi
Loopy Godinez
33
Sig strikes landed
33
81
Sig strikes attempted
78
62
Total strikes landed
58
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
200s
Control time
220s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ariane Carnelossi
"Sorriso"
16-4
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Loopy Godinez
15-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—