Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kleydson Rodrigues
CJ Vergara
59%
41%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
26
Age
Δ 4y
31
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Rodrigues: 81 sig / 2 TD ·
Vergara: 71 sig / 0 TD
Kleydson Rodrigues
CJ Vergara
50
Sig strikes landed
43
115
Sig strikes attempted
86
67
Total strikes landed
72
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
121s
Control time
181s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Kleydson Rodrigues
"KR"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
L1
CJ Vergara
12-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
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