Prelims1
Women's Featherweight
Macy Chiasson vs Norma Dumont
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
·Footprint Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Macy Chiasson
Norma Dumont
50%
50%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
67"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
11-7
Career record
Δ 21 pp
14-3
L1
Current streak
W3
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Chiasson: 32 sig / 6 TD ·
Dumont: 38 sig / 0 TD
Macy Chiasson
Norma Dumont
47
Sig strikes landed
47
109
Sig strikes attempted
99
78
Total strikes landed
71
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
4.8
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
225s
Control time
175s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Macy Chiasson
11-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
Blue corner
W3
Norma Dumont
"The Immortal"
14-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—