Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Khaos Williams
55%
45%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
21-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-5
W2
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Brown: 93 sig / 0 TD ·
Williams: 75 sig / 0 TD
Randy Brown
Khaos Williams
56
Sig strikes landed
47
122
Sig strikes attempted
116
61
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
90s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
Blue corner
W2
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
17-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—